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秦晉致函澳洲總理莫里森 提出关于澳洲抵消北京政治报复的策略

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秦晉

澳洲总理莫里森先生:澳洲针对中国武汉病毒全球泛滥提出对病毒源发地进行独立调查,这是一个公共卫生问题,中国政府必须对这一造成全球性灾难的事件做出合理的解释。

澳洲此举令中共恼怒,对澳洲实行政治报复,停止澳洲对中国的正常贸易往来和澳洲产品对中国的输出。北京的反应是一个疯狂的行为。澳洲政府在这个问题上向北京示弱不解决问题,口水战也无助于澳洲在这一轮与北京交火中胜出。澳洲应运用政治智慧和胆识解决问题,澳洲应「以其人之道还治其人之身」,同样通过政治手段战胜北京这一政治无赖行为。中共最害怕被触及的软肋浑身遍是,澳洲任意选择其一就可以轻而易举地制服北京的狂乱举措。

在目前形势下,澳洲作为地区性中等强权国家,可以用提升与台湾的关系轻易化解中国对澳洲的贸易打击。此举一定令北京感到恐慌,澳洲率先公开提升与台湾关系,在5月20日蔡英文总统就职仪式上派遣高阶政府官员出席,北京将会感到震惊,中共就会服软,并对澳洲这一意外举动做出审慎的反应,会担心其他国家的随后报复的后果。澳洲这个做法有全球领头作用,必令中共担忧在国际关系中出现台湾牌的骨牌效应。

北京这次对澳洲采取的策略是「枪打出头鸟」,希望起到「杀鸡儆猴」的效应。如果澳洲坚拒北京压力绝不屈服,北京将很快陷入可怕的局面,面临遭受武汉冠状病毒感染的其他国家效仿跟随而形成更多挑战。如果中共继续升级恶化与澳洲关系,澳洲继续坚持原则强硬以对,则会导致国际社会对中共的进一步的疏离,这将触发中共政权最终垮台的多米诺骨牌效应。

一个没有中共的中国对世界的和平、稳定和发展是好还是坏?这个不言自明,问题是澳洲政治家是否有此远见和决心。澳洲虽然地区中等强权,但由于这一不寻常而大胆的举动,却因为此举而在改善世界秩序和格局方面领导世界。如果中共因为澳洲的坚定决心和立场反而认怂了,北京会悄悄撤销其虚张声势的言论和暂停从澳大利亚进口的疯狂行动,对澳洲仍然是有利无害。现在是澳洲可以决定是站起来还是做其他选择跪下去。

笔者非常希望看到澳洲勇敢地把握住将这场政治危机转变成澳洲乃至整个世界的新历史机遇。

秦晋 民主中国阵线主席

澳洲雪梨大学博士候选人

2020年5月13日

英文原文:
Hon Scott Morrison MP, Prime Minister of Australia Suite 102, Level 1 30 The Kingsway Cronulla, NSW, 2230 13 May 2020

Dear Hon Scott Morrison MP, Prime Minister of Australia,

Re: Strategy of Australia to offset political retaliation of Beijing Australia raised an independent inquiry into the origin of the Wuhan virus and world pandemic. This is a public health issue and the government of China is obliged to come clean and give a reasonable explanation for this global disaster. Instead, the Chinese government responded angrily to Australia’s request with political retaliation, by imposing high tariffs on Australia goods being exported to China. It is really bizarre. However it is not the time for Australia to buckle or show weakness to Beijing on this matter. And a war of words will not help Australia to win this round of the crossfire with Beijing. Australia should make good use of its own political wisdom and guts to get out of this tricky swamp. To triumph over Beijing, the best way is “When in Rome, do as the Romans do” and defeat the Beijing rogue’s political act through political means, ie “Give him a taste of his own medicine”. The CCP is most afraid of being attacked in their soft underbelly. By firmly taking the power, and stepping into a new more mature global voice, Australia can subdue Beijing’s frenzied measures at will. Australia is a regional middle power and can gain its political leverage to offset China’s trade retaliation by openly paying a little bit more attention to Taiwan, in accordance with the Chinese political stratagem “When it is dark in the east, it is light in the west”. This unusual move would pressure Beijing to rethink its political retaliation against Australia. If Australia sends a senior minister to attend the inauguration ceremony of President Tsai Ing-wen on May 20, 2020, which is only a week away, Beijing will be startled, and react to this unexpected move by Australia even more cautiously, and seriously consider the consequences of its random retaliation against foreign powers. Beijing’s usual tactic towards Australia is typically “Shooting the bird which takes the lead” for the same effect as “Killing a chicken to scare the monkeys”. If Australia refuses to bow to cave under Beijing’s pressure, Beijing will soon get into the dire situation of facing more challenges from other nations and states suffering from the Wuhan coronavirus. If Beijing continues to escalate the tension with Australia and Australia remains unchanged and unswerving, Beijing will only incur alienation from, and the hostility of the international community. This will trigger the domino effect of the eventual downfall of the CCP regime. Is it good or bad for world peace, stability and development to have a China without the CCP? The answer to this is self-evident. Now the question facing us is whether Australian political leaders have the vision and determination. Despite of the regional middle power, Australia can lead the world in bettering the world order and pattern because of this unusual and bold move. If Beijing carefully rethinks its bullying move of retaliation because of Australia’s firm determination and footing, Beijing will quietly revoke its bluffing remarks and crazy action of suspension of imports from Australia. Now it is the option of Australia to stand up or respond otherwise. The undersigned writer is very keen to see Australia bravely turn this political crisis into a new historical opportunity for Australia and the whole world.

Yours sincerely Chin Jin President of the Federation for a Democratic China Candidate for Doctor of Social Sciences at the University of Sydney

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